Stock markets under pressure: US bond yields rise, doubts about rapid interest rate cuts. Experts warn of impacts on the US economy.

Stock markets under pressure: US bond yields rise, doubts about rapid interest rate cuts. Experts warn of impacts on the US economy.

According to a report by finanzmarktwelt.de,
Stock markets are under pressure and U.S. bond yields are rising as many traders reduce bets on rapid rate cuts by the Fed following stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data. The Fed swaps show that the probability of a rate cut has already fallen to below 60% in March - down from 80% on Friday. The S&P 500 extended losses and two-year Treasury yields rose above 4.3%, while the U.S. 10-year bond yield rose to 4.125%. The dollar rose to a one-month high and Wall Street's fear gauge - the VIX - hit its highest level since November. The MSCI Emerging Markets index of stocks fell 2%, and overall risk aversion also pushed oil prices lower.

U.S. retail sales rose the most in three months in December, capping a solid holiday season that faces headwinds in the new year. Separate data showed that industrial production also topped economists' estimates.

As a financial professional, it is important to analyze the impact of these developments. Rising U.S. bond yields could cause investors to retreat from risky assets and instead focus on higher-yielding bonds. This could lead to greater volatility in stock markets and increase demand for safe havens such as the US dollar and government bonds.

The reduced likelihood of a Fed rate cut could also impact markets. Less accommodative monetary policy could lead to a slowdown in economic activity and impact growth. Investors could therefore act more cautiously and the stock markets could continue to come under pressure.

It remains to be seen how the US Federal Reserve and market participants will react to the current economic data, as this may have an immediate impact on the financial markets. Investors will also closely monitor comments from Fed members and the U.S. earnings season, as these may provide further clues about future interest rate policy and economic developments. Rising US bond yields and the reduced likelihood of a rate cut therefore represent important risks to the market that must be carefully monitored to make informed investment decisions.