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Stock markets before the end of the bull market: Experts warn of an impending bear market
CIO warns of painful setback: “End of growth cycle”. Expert predicts bear market and recession. Financial markets in danger according to Technical Traders founder.
Stock markets before the end of the bull market: Experts warn of an impending bear market
The stock markets are currently still experiencing high valuations despite a slight decline from their all-time highs. However, Chris Vermeulen, the founder of Technical Traders, warns of a painful downturn ahead. He believes that the current bull market has reached its end. Vermeulen bases his thesis on the rally in defensive stocks such as precious metals, energy stocks and industrials. In his opinion, these signs indicate that a bear market and possibly a recession are imminent.
As an expert, Vermeulen predicts a difficult “reset” for the stock market. He compares the potential situation to past events such as the dot-com bubble and the 2008 financial crisis, which led to significant losses on stock markets. Vermeulen warns investors that their assets could fall by up to 50 percent next year. Despite the current developments, he does not see the turning point reached yet. He thinks the market could potentially continue rising until May or June before a bear market sets in.
In addition to Vermeulen, other market experts have also issued similar warnings. Financial analyst Gary Shilling warned of a possible crash with the S&P 500 falling 20 to 30 percent or more. Additionally, top economist David Rosenberg predicts a recession in the US in 2024 based on increased risk compared to previous years. Various market indicators also signal increased uncertainty and an increasing risk of crash. The VIX volatility index hit a high since October 2023 in April, while other indicators also point to potential turbulence in the market.