The 25,000 euro question: How investors can benefit from a possible Goldilocks scenario and what nasty surprises threaten in the coming year.

The 25,000 euro question: How investors can benefit from a possible Goldilocks scenario and what nasty surprises threaten in the coming year.

According to a report by www.n-tv.de,

The outlook for investors in the coming year could be perfect, but unpleasant surprises are also possible. Stable economic growth, full employment and low inflation rates could create a perfect investment world. However, unexpected events, also known as black swans, can shake up markets.

Possible stress factors for 2024 could be:
1. A recession in the US economy
2. Escalation of the situation in the Middle East and rising oil prices
3. Higher national debt, bond issues and rising interest rates
4. Impassable Suez Canal and global supply chain disruptions
5. Chaotic conditions in the USA before the presidential elections
6. Devaluation of the Chinese Yuan and deflationary effects
7. Unsafe situation in Germany under the traffic light government

With this in mind, it is recommended that investors hold large amounts of money, e.g. B. Invest 25,000 euros in longer-term bonds and overweight stocks. Quality stocks, medium-term, high-quality corporate bonds and a moderate weighting of gold should be part of a solidly constructed portfolio. Short-term federal bonds and federal treasury certificates are recommended instead of fixed-term deposits, as banks are stingy when it comes to deposit interest rates. However, investors should not be too naïve and concentrate on solid diversification of their portfolio.